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Model tab > Time-Series - Single

Intended audience: end-users developers

AO Platform: 4.3

Time-Series - Single

The Model tab generally includes one or more of the following sections:

  • Data Fields - these are the data field configuration properties mandatory for the model to execute.

  • Model Specific Configurations - configuration properties in this section will vary depending on the selected model. If the model does not require additional configuration, the section(s) will not be shown.


Data Fields

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Properties

Label

UI

Default

Description

Data Fields




  • Time Series Field

Dropdown w/Expression


Select a Date Field for the time series model.

  • Value Field

Dropdown w/Expression


Select a Value Field for the time series model.

  • Additional Properties

Icon


Allows a Display Name to be assigned to the Value Field selected and to select How to Handle Missing Values.

  • Replace with predicted value

  • Replace with average

  • Replace with previous value (default)

  • Replace with zero

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  • Preview Model Data

Button


Opens a dialog to view the data that will be used by the model. See Model > Model tab.

Effects (Covariates)



This is a repeater section that allows one or more Covariate Fields to be selected, which will influence the model with respect to the main Data Fields selected above. For example, if the model sets out to predict a Temperature Forecast, by adding external influencing factors (such as Humidity, Wind Speed, Mean Pressure), the analysis will quantify the degree to which each external variable contributes to the variability in the Mean Temperature.

  • Covariate Fields

Dropdown w/Expression


Select a Covariate Field.

  • Time Series Field

Dropdown w/Expression


Select a Time Series Field.

  • Criteria

Read-only Text Field w/Filter Icon


Opens the Query Builder to allow one or more filter criteria to be added for the data.

  • Additional Properties

Icon


See above.

  • Preview

Button


Opens a dialog to view the Covariate Data as relating to the Model Data.

  • Delete

Icon


Deletes the Covariate configuration entry.

Quick Insight Model Parameters




  • Configure Model Parameters

Button


Opens a dialog to select child models for the current parent model. See Model > Model tab.


Configure Model Parameters

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Common Properties

Label

UI

Default

Description

Model Size

Dropdown

Default (2000)

Manage the model’s size. Larger models provide reliable interpretations at the cost of longer insight run times. Smaller models produce quicker results but lack the inclusiveness of larger counterparts.

  • Default - Samples: 2000

  • Custom - enter a value in the Number of Trials field below.

Number of Trials

Number Field

2000

Enter a number for the number of Trial Samples. This field is only visible if the user has selected Custom in the Model Size field above.

Type of Data

Dropdown

Data is Normal

Select the Type of Data from either of the following options:

  • Data is Normal - data is expected to have a normal value distribution.

  • Data has Outliers - data is expected to have a distribution with some outliers.

Analyze By

Dropdown

Day

Time durations for which the data will be analyzed. Multi-select (tags) for one or more time duration values, including:

  • Hour

  • Day

  • Week

  • Month

  • Quarter

  • Year

Show Analysis for Periodic Estimation

ON/OFF Toggles


One or more On/Off Toggles will show depending on the selection for Analyze By above.

Special Day Insight

ON/OFF Toggle

ON

Will generate additional insights relating specifically to configured Special Days for the Ontology. This toggle is only available if Day is selected for Analyze By above.

Change Point Selection

Dropdown

Automatic Change Points

Select how Change Points will help the model adjust to significant shifts in business trends, including:

  • Automatic Change Points (default) - the system detects and adjusts to trend shifts automatically. Example: A surge in online orders during Black Friday.

  • Candidate Change Points - the system suggests potential shifts, allowing review before applying. Example: The model highlights seasonal sales patterns for review.

  • Custom Change Points - Define trend shifts manually based on business knowledge. Example: Marking a product launch date that impacts sales growth.

Number of Candidate Change Points

Number field

5

Defines how many key trend shifts the system considers when analyzing business data. This field only shows when the Candidate Change Points value is selected in the Change Point Selection above.

  • A higher number captures more variations, but may lead to unnecessary complexity. Example: Tracking daily fluctuations in stock prices.

  • A lower number keeps insights simpler, focusing only on major changes. Example: Identifying major sales peaks in a quarterly revenue report.

Select a Date(s)/Range

Date Field(s)


Defines specific Date(s)/Range for Change Points. This field only shows when the Custom Change Points value is selected in the Change Point Selection above.

Missing Values (%)

Text Field

25

Represents the percentage of missing data in the time series, helping assess data quality. It also defines the limit for how much missing data can be imported. A higher threshold allows the model to tolerate and fill in more missing values, which can impact forecast accuracy.


Model Configuration - Outliers

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Properties

Label

UI

Default

Description

Model Configuration




  • Sensitivity

Number field

0.95

Controls how far away from the expected distribution a point needs to be considered an outlier.

  • Greater than or equal to 0

  • Less than or equal to 1.0

Rules for Adding to Insights Feed Page from Scheduler

Radio-buttons


This section allows the user to select if the Quick Insight will be added to the Insights Feed page when generated from a Scheduled Task. See Model > Model tab.


Model Configuration - Change Points

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Properties

Label

UI

Default

Description

Model Configuration




  • Sensitivity

Number field

0.95

Controls how far away from the expected distribution a point needs to be considered an outlier.

  • Greater than or equal to 0

  • Less than or equal to 1.0

Rules for Adding to Insights Feed Page from Scheduler

Radio-buttons


This section allows the user to select if the Quick Insight will be added to the Insights Feed page when generated from a Scheduled Task. See Model > Model tab.


Model Configuration - Trend Line and Periodic Estimation

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Properties

Label

UI

Default

Description

Significance

Number field

0.01

Controls how much the distribution of change point slopes can overlap to be considered individual change points

  • Greater than or equal to 0

  • Less than or equal to 100

Rules for Adding to Insights Feed Page from Scheduler

Radio-buttons


This section allows the user to select if the Quick Insight will be added to the Insights Feed page when generated from a Scheduled Task. See Model > Model tab.


Model Configuration - Forecast

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Properties

Label

UI

Default

Description

Predict By

Number field


Time durations for which the data will be analyzed and the desired number of predictions - enter the number of hours, days, weeks, months, or years for the predicted time period.

Show Estimated Series

On/Off toggle

Off

Displays the predicted values alongside actual data, allowing businesses to compare forecasts with historical trends and assess model accuracy.

No of Data Points to Show


1

Number of data points to show by default in chart.

Rules for Adding to Insights Feed Page from Scheduler

Radio-buttons


This section allows the user to select if the Quick Insight will be added to the Insights Feed page when generated from a Scheduled Task. See Model > Model tab.






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